After the Jackson crowned the league’s MVP and scored 12 straight wins at the end of the season, the Ravens finished their 2019 AFC Divisional Round Matchup against the Titans as a 10-point Favorites. But despite the 530 yards offensive, the Ravens saw their Super Bowl dreams die in their home stadium with a 28-12 loss to the Titans when Derrick Henry shot 195 yards with 30 carry.
Ten months later, the two teams will meet again at the M&T Bank Stadium. Both sit 6-3 and want to recover from their week 10 defeats to keep up in the AFC playoff race.
Can Jackson and the Ravens avenge their devastating playoff loss? Or will Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry and the Titans prove to be their Achilles heel?
The Titans get into this game and lose three of their last four games. If you’ve seen her this season, you know her 31st. Special Forces was the Achilles heel, and it certainly bit them in last Thursday’s loss to the Colts.
Kicker Stephen Gostkowski’s fights are well documented as he only made 12 out of 20 field goal attempts and went 1: 2 last week and missed a 44-yarder. However, it was Trevor Daniel’s blocked boat that the Colts brought back that ultimately cost the Titans that game.
It doesn’t get any easier this week as the Titans come into play with injuries on both sides of the ball.
The absence of left guard Rodger Saffold (ankle) and the questionable status of center Ben Jones (knee) are major concerns for an offensive line that is already missing left striker Taylor Lewan, who sustained a knee injury during the week at the end of the season has 6. If you properly factor in Jack Conklin’s off-season exit to the Browns, the Titans will be able to do without three – possibly four – offensive line players who helped them win last season’s playoff game against the Ravens.
We saw the Titans move from first success rate, fourth in success rate, and first in overall success rate to 26th in the first six weeks. Place in the success rate, the 21. Place in the success rate and the 26th. Place in the success rate passed last four weeks (per Sharp Football Stats). They also went from 32 points. 8 points per game and an average of 423. 2 meter attack on only 19. 5 points per game with 313. 75 average yards, while three of the last four games produced fewer than 300 yards.
Despite facing the top 5 defenses at the Steelers and Bears, the Titans still fought offensively against smaller units, scoring just 20 points against the Bengals defending in 30th place.
One of her biggest problems over the past four weeks has been the run / pass ratio in third place on first descent (62% / 38%), even though the success rate was only 43%. With Tannehill frequently in second and third place, we’ve seen that offense recede after the preseason success. Unfortunately, the Titans will get by without the broad receiver Adam Humphries, who hasn’t played since a week 8 concussion.
Jadeveon Clowney (knee) was recently inducted into the Injured Reserve while cornerback Adoree ‘Jackson (knee) and defender Larrell Murchison (ribs) were excluded.
As cornerback Kareem Orr (groin) is also in question for Sunday, this is not a good sign for a defense that is in 24th place on defense, 25th against the pass and 19th against the barrel, while 54 % of passing games are successful and 55% of runs are successful (27th. or. 30th. ).
The titans finished 31st in sacks (11). and in the print rate (17) the 29th. space. 9%), which means they will likely struggle to get to Jackson.
If the Titans win this game, it is because of their offense, which has not been the same for the past four weeks.
You get into this game and lose two of your last three games. Their only win came on the streets in a game where we saw the ravens fight until a Colts fumble and subsequent 65-yard return for a touchdown completely changed the flow of the game.
Still, this match is mainly about whether opposing defensive coordinators caught up with Jackson. However, I am not sure if this is the case.
Although the ravens are only on. Reaching place in offensive efficiency, 22. against the pass and the 11. against the barrel, their problems mirror the problems of the titans – the ravens also had problems in the offensive line. Future Hall of Fame right guardian Marshal Yanda retired last off-season and lost the remainder of the season to Ronnie Stanley with a broken ankle.
They also put Jackson behind the eight with their game script as they have the third highest run / pass ratio but only a 47% success rate. The Ravens are only 25 in the early success rate at 42. 8%, which means that they face a lot of unfavorable third and long situations.
Still, Jackson and the Ravens score 27 points. 1 point per game, good for the 12th. Place in the NFL. Even with a four-turn run against the runner-up Steelers in Week 8, the Ravens scored 24 points and put on a total of 457 yards of attack and walked away from victory within an incomplete pass to Willie Snead.
The ravens did a good job defeating poor defenses, especially those with poor pass defenses:
After the Patriots monsoon loss last week, this is set to rebound for Jackson and the Ravens. Mark Ingram is back in the line-up which should improve the running game too.
The Raven Defense only gives up 18. 3 points per game, first among all NFL teams. You’re also sixth on the defensive, tenth against the pass and third against the run. This week, however, they could have trouble preventing Henry from repeating his 30-carry, 195-yard performance in last year’s playoff meeting as they may miss the dubious defenders Calais Campbell and Brandon Williams.
There is some good news on the injury front as their best run defender in L.. . J. . Fort is ready to play, as are cornerback Jimmy Smith and security Anthony Levine.
Aside from last week’s loss to Bill Belichick’s Patriots and last season’s playoff loss to the Titans, the Ravens usually beat the teams they’re supposed to beat. And even with a 6-3 record, the Titans are a team to beat the Ravens: The Titans have a point difference of just 14, which is less than three points per win. So their Pythagorean expectation is that the Titans should have won about five games and lost four.
At 6-3 the titans have clearly exceeded their point difference. And teams that exceed their point difference are likely to see a regression.
If there is one magical elixir for a raven offense, it is defending the rank 24 titans, which is only one step down in class compared to the past few weeks.
My projections bring this game closer to 7, but I’m not ready to touchdown with a fighting Ravens Run Defense without Campbell and Williams against a heavy offensive. Still, I like the Ravens to avenge their playoff loss, so this is an ideal place for a 6-point teaser.
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