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Where is the market headed from here after the wild ride of 2020? Much progress has been made in the COVID-19 vaccine race, but the short-term picture remains unclear as the virus resurgence and stimulus stalemate blur on Capitol Hill. In times like these, the big investors can serve as a source of inspiration, namely the billionaire Israel « Izzy » Englander. Who exactly is an Englishman? The legend, who began trading stocks in high school, began his career as an intern at the investment firm Oppenheimer. He later acquired a seat on the American stock exchange, where he acted as a floor broker, dealer and specialist. In 1989, Englander founded the Millennium Management hedge fund with Ronald Shear. As evidence of his stellar track record, the guru took the $ 35 million used to set up the fund into over $ 40 billion in assets under management. With his personal fortune of $ 7. No wonder Wall Street pays attention when Englander takes a step. With that in mind, our focus shifted to Millenium’s recent 13F filing, which reveals the stocks the fund bought in the third quarter. The TipRanks database recorded two tickers in particular and showed that both names achieve an analyst consensus of “Strong Buy”. In addition, the analyst community sees enormous upside potential for everyone. G1 Therapeutics (GTHX) With a deep understanding of cancer biology and extensive drug discovery experience, G1 Therapeutics develops therapies that can potentially improve the lives of patients battling the deadly disease. Before an important official decision is made, the street hits this name. In the third quarter, Englander and Millennium acquired a new stake in GTHX. When you pull the trigger for 555. Pressing 937 shares, the value of the stake is 6. 421. 000 USD. With regards to the analyst community, Needham’s Chad Messer tells his clients that he will be working before the PDUFA appointment for trilaciclib on Jan.. February, its therapy to improve outcomes for cancer patients treated with chemotherapy has high hopes. The NDA of therapy was accepted in August for priority review based on results from three randomized clinical trials in small cell lung cancer (SCLC). The FDA stated that no Advisory Council (AdComm) meeting is planned. Since trilaciclib is the first CDK4 / 6 inhibitor to be used to treat chemo-induced bone marrow toxicity, Messer argues that the absence of an AdComm makes “sense”. He then stated, “We believe this reflects the Agency’s appreciation for the unmet need, convenience with the safety profile of the CDK4 / 6 class, and the efficacy profile of trilaciclib. GTHX will also focus on adding trilaciclib to NCCN guidelines. It should also be noted that a pivotal phase 3 trial evaluating the candidate for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is scheduled to begin by the end of the year. In addition to the good news, GTHX and its partner Boehringer Ingelheim are preparing for the commercial launch of trilaciclib. The companies cover around 2. 500 attending oncologists and provide educational materials on using trilaciclib prior to treatment and the benefits of multi-lineage maintenance. If that wasn’t enough, the rintodestrant (its Selective Estrogen Receptor Degrader (SERD) under development to treat estrogen receptor-positive (ER) breast cancer) plus the palbociclib combination study was able to complete registration earlier than expected. the appeal of a purely oral regimen during a global pandemic, ”said Messer. With a data display planned for the second quarter of 2021, the analyst believes that a “positive display could prove to be a key value driver. In line with its optimistic approach, Messer reiterated a buy rating and a price target of USD 74, which indicates an upside potential of 417%. (To see Messer’s track record, click here. ) Do other analysts agree? you are. In the last three months only buy reviews have been given, to be precise 3. Hence the message is clear: GTHX is a strong buy. Given the average price target of $ 59, stocks could rise 312% over the next year. (See GTHX stock analysis on TipRanks) Epizym (EPZM) Epizym is also fighting in the fight against cancer and other serious diseases and aims to find new therapies through novel epigenetic drugs. While the company is facing headwinds with its recent product launch, several members of the street believe that big things are in store. Millenium bought 461 in the third quarter. 258 stocks, with the purchase reflecting a new position for the hedge fund. The value of the participation is 5. 503. 000 USD. 5-star analyst David Kidney Garden, who writes for Wedbush, points out that the pandemic has limited visits from oncologists and therefore Tazverik (the company’s treatment for follicular lymphoma) sales have been lower than expected. He points out that « the pandemic is shifting the starting curve to an incidence model rather than a prevalence model as there is a limited pool of patients available if they delay office visits, » with patients waiting for their treatment Seek treatment for symptoms of progression. Although the launch is virtual and doctor awareness is high, doctors refuse to prescribe a new drug without personally examining the patient. Even so, Kidney Garden remains optimistic about the therapy. “Despite this headwind, Tazverik is almost on our estimates and is gaining market share, including the first second-tier sales. We expect secondary line sales to begin in 2021 and have gradually added them to our launch curve, ”the analyst said. When it comes to therapy time, Kidney Garden believes it is too early to reach any conclusions. However, he emphasizes the fact that the duration of the response was relatively long and the patients in the registration study were treated as they progressed. “In addition, the headwind against switching therapies becomes a tailwind for Tazverik maintenance once a patient receives therapy. This will likely be a more significant contributor to 2H21’s sales and the potential outperformance of sales, ”he added. In summary, Kidney Garden said, “At current levels, we believe that investors are too negative about Tazverik’s potential and that patience should be rewarded. Based on all of the above, Kidney Garden takes the bulls’ side, reiterating an outperform rating and target price of $ 27. This goal conveys his confidence in the EPZM’s ability to grow 122% over the next year. (To see Kidney Garden’s success story, click here. Most of the other analysts share the opinion of Kidney Garden. 3 buys and 1 hold results in a strong buy consensus rating. With an average price target of $ 23. 25 the upside potential is 91%. (See EPZM stock analysis on TipRanks. ) To find great ideas for trading healthcare stocks at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks ‘Best Stocks to Buy,’ a newly launched tool that brings together all of the insights into TipRanks stocks. Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the presented analysts. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. It is very important that you do your own analysis before making any investment.
The year is drawing to a close and there is more and more positive news for the energy industry, presenting a range of juicy offers for this holiday season.
The stock market looks resilient but is also showing signs of excessive upward movement. Apple lists four key names.
Wall Street is preparing for Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) to be included in the S&P 500 index in December. 18th. What Happened: The addition of the California-based automaker is likely to create challenges because of the company’s size, $ 555 billion, and volatility. Tesla’s share price rose 40% immediately after announcing S&P 500 in November. 16, and the addition comes at a time of pandemic volatility, the Wall Street Journal reports. Tesla is the largest company ever to be included in the index and it will be the sixth largest by market capitalization. According to the WSJ, Elon Musk’s company could set in motion $ 100 billion if funds try to sell other companies’ stocks to buy Tesla’s. To alleviate the potential trading chaos, some Wall Street executives recommend splitting the addition « over two trading days, » which the WSJ says has never been done before. Ben Inker, who manages asset allocation at investment manager GMO, believes that any unpreparedness could have consequences. « The people who pay the price when S&P messes it up are the investors in passive S&P, » he says. Why It Matters: Tesla’s addition to the S&P 500 also comes on the same day that the so-called « Quadruple Witches » takes place. Every last Friday of the quarter marks the day when futures and options expire at the same time, which increases the volume. This could add to liquidity that day, according to investors, but it could also add to market volatility. Price action: Tesla shares were trading at zero. 17% lower at $ 584. 77 in the after-hour markets on Friday. Photo courtesy of Unsplash See more of Benzinga * Click here for Benzinga option deals * Guggenheim Fund Mull’s investment in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust * Bloomberg publishes its list of the wealthiest families in Asia 2020 (C) 2020 Benzinga. com. Benzinga does not offer investment advice. All rights reserved.
I’ve read some of your HelpMeRetire inquiries, and I have a situation that I don’t seem to find much information about from reading retirement planning guides. I am 60 years old and my spouse is 45 years old. Our cost of living isn’t extravagant, but we love to travel.
South Korea’s sovereign wealth fund sold shares in Alibaba, Apple and Intel in the third quarter. It has also more than doubled a position in GM stocks, a move that has paid off in the fourth quarter so far.
Buying a stock is easy, but buying the right stock without a proven strategy is incredibly difficult. What are the best stocks to buy or watch on right now?
Mohamed El-Erian, president of Queens’ College University and Allianz economic advisor, unsure whether the bull run will continue and explained why in a recent interview.
Each week, Trifecta Stocks identifies names that look bearish and, on the short side, may offer interesting investment opportunities. Using the technical analysis of the charts of these stocks and, if applicable, recent actions and grades from TheStreet’s Quant Ratings, we come up with five names. While we won’t delve into fundamental analysis, we hope this piece provides a good place to start on the way down to do more homework on the names for investors interested in stocks.
A home loan is a powerful financial tool even if you have the money to pay directly.
The Barron cover story over the weekend discusses whether Ford can be repaired and its inventory can double. * Other articles featured explore the bull case for Tesla in the S&P 500, some global recreational games, and how badly the pandemic has hurt real estate investment trusts. * Also, the outlook for a salon operator, automaker dividends, Apple notebooks, and more. Cover story « Ford Can Be Fixed. Why Its Stock Might Double « by Al Root points out that Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F), the world’s fifth-largest automaker, was among the worst-performing stocks over the past five years. Learn why Barron believes his new chief executive officer could help fix the company and increase its share price significantly. Leslie P. . Norton’s « Pandemic or not, a house needs a deck. This is good news for Azek « shows why Azek Company Inc (NYSE: AZEK), the second largest manufacturer of composite wood decks, is growing rapidly after going public in June. As recycling increases and composite costs decrease, the company expects steady growth, according to the article. In « Supercuts Owner Regis Is A Post-Pandemic Game Of Style, » Nicholas Jasinski argues that the move to a franchise model is driving small-cap hair salon operator Regis Corporation (NYSE: RGS) to buy. Haircuts cannot be sold online and shipped in a box, and investors look forward to when life and business are back to normal. General Motors Company (NYSE: GM), Ford, and other automakers appear to be on track to restore their dividends as 2021 approaches and rear-view mirrors are strong in the third quarter. As stated in « Improving Cash Flows Reconciles GM And Ford Dividends For Recovery » by Lawrence C. . Ostrich. In Alex Eules « Apple’s new MacBooks, critics were enthusiastic. Investors should also worry « why Barron’s believes that while Macs only make up 10% of total Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) sales, the business is once again important to the future of the consumer electronics giant. ». « Tesla storms the S&P 500. Here is Jack Hough’s « Bull Case » explaining why Elon Musk’s electric vehicle maker is continuing its staggering surge, but Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) is now so high that profits from auto manufacturing alone may not be enough even if you look outside for a decade and assume massive market share gains. See Also: Gasoline Gas Bulls And Bears Of The Week: AstraZeneca, Disney, Ford, GE, Roku, And More The consumer staples sector grew nearly 30% in 2020, making it the second best performer this year, according to technology only, Ben Levisohn’s « Tesla Stands. » shortly before the upturn in this sector. What investors should do now. « Discover why Barron’s believes the sector is getting a lot riskier and how investors want to play it. In « Three Stocks to Buy as COVID Lockdowns Ease, » Bill Alpert addresses the claim that global recovery like Anheuser Busch Inbev NV (NYSE: BUD) and Royal Dutch Shell plc (NYSE: RDS-A) as investors are a fair price Look ahead to a post-pandemic world. See what else made the cut. Lawrence C. . Strauss’ « REITs have been hit hard by COVID-19. The impact could last for years, « says COVID-19, which has hurt the most long-term value of real estate investment trusts focused on shopping malls and office space. But what about American Tower Corp (NYSE: AMT) and Prologis Inc (NYSE: PLD)? Also in Barrons this week: * Asking the Most Powerful Woman in Technology * How Much Can Joe Biden Actually Change Tax Policy * Five Tax Measures To Consider For An Unusual Year * Why Taxable Muni Bonds Are Alluring * Whether Companies That Have The Impact Don’t measure up, lag on companies * How emerging markets could benefit from COVID-19 vaccines * Whether millennials or baby boomers are fueling the recent stock rally * A look back at Janet Yellen’s career * Whether the Bitcoin rally has legs * A memory loss trap that Should Be Avoided in Retirement At the time of this writing, the author did not hold a position in the said stocks. Follow Benzinga on Twitter to keep up with the latest news and trading ideas. Photo by Delbeautybox from Pexels See more from Benzinga * Click here for Benzinga option deals * Notable insider buys over the past week: Biglari, Coty, Danaher, Foot Locker and more * Benzinga’s Bulls and Bears of the Week: AstraZeneca, Disney, Ford, GE, Roku and more (C) 2020 Benzinga. com. Benzinga does not offer investment advice. All rights reserved.
You can inherit an IRA tax-free, but you could be fined 50% for not following the Rules on Minimum Required Distributions (RMDs). .
President-elect Joe Biden wants to help Americans save for their golden years by expanding access to retirement plans, strengthening social security, and making health care more affordable.
Cloud software holdings like Salesforce, Zoom, Snowflake, Okta and CrowdStrike are reporting this week. Plus, Jobs Friday, Jerome Powell Testimonial and October PMIs.
The Wisconsin State Pension Investment Board sold shares in Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Exxon in the third quarter. It bought JPMorgan stock.
Does buying gold stocks or betting on the price of gold make sense despite vaccine progress and 2020 election results? Here are a few things to keep in mind.
In a four day week that the markets were on the rise, cannabis stocks proved to be big winners. Late Friday, stocks rose on news that a federal law legalizing marijuana will get a Congressional vote next week. During the holiday week: * The ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (NYSE: MJ): gained 12% * The AdvisorShares Pure Cannabis ETF (NYSE: YOLO): rose 15% * The Cannabis ETF (NYSE: THCX): Advanced 14. 5% * The Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (NYSE: CNBS): up 14% * The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY) gained 1. 5%. On other news, music industry mogul Jay-Z announced he would join a newly formed cannabis company that is expected to become the largest in California. The company was formed through a partnership between Caliva, Left Coast Ventures and Subversive Capital Acquisition Corp.. founded. (OTCQX: SBVCF) and Roc Nation, Jay-Z, the entertainment company founded in 2008. Jay-Z will assume the title of Chief Visionary Officer. « The transaction is expected to close in January 2021 with Steve Allan as CEO. In his role, Sean Carter (Jay-Z) is expected to help oversee a corporate venture fund focused on social justice actions. The fund has an initial funding target of 10 million. USD and pledges to allocate at least 2% of its net income to invest in minority cannabis companies and donate to organizations attempting to outlaw the ban. Meanwhile, Detroit has passed an ordinance giving the green light to the licensing process for adult marijuana companies. Detroit City Council unanimously voted to grant licenses to retailers, growers, processors, safety compliance facilities, temporary marijuana events, micro-businesses, consumption lounges, and adult transportation companies. The ordinance includes measures in favor of legacy Detroiters and people with previous marijuana beliefs. Detroit Legacy applicants are granted 50% of all licenses through a social equity program included in the regulation. Results reports Cansortium Inc. . (CSE: TIUM) (OTCQB: CNTMF) reported sales of $ 14. 3 million for the third quarter of this fiscal year. That is an increase of 94% compared to the previous year. Jushi Holdings Inc. . (CSE: JUSH) (OTCQB: JUSHF) announced that third-quarter revenue was $ 24. 9 million, up 67% over the quarter. The increase in sales is due to the sales growth in the BEYOND / HELLO branches in Illinois and Pennsylvania as well as in Nevada. In addition, sales in the same store were up roughly 45% quarter-over-quarter, excluding the two Philadelphia stores that have been temporarily closed since June due to protests related to George Floyd. Earlier this week, the company announced it would nearly double the acreage of its Scranton, Pennsylvania subsidiary. The expansion is expected to create more than 100 new jobs in the region. Vireo Health International Inc. . (CSE: VREO) (OTCQX: VREOF) had third-quarter revenue of $ 13. 4 million. That is an increase of 68% compared to the previous year. The doctor-run cannabis company had third-quarter revenue in seven states: New Mexico, Minnesota, Ohio, New York, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. The quarterly adjusted EBITDA was 675. $ 808 compared to a loss of $ 5. 2 million in the same quarter last year. Rubicon Organics Inc. . (TSXV: ROMJ) (OTCQX: ROMJF) saw net sales up 219% (CA $ 3). 2 million. ) for the third quarter compared to the previous three-month period. This was due to higher sales volume through direct sales to provincial suppliers and under the Agro-Greens Agreement. Rubicon Organics Inc. . (TSXV: ROMJ) (OTCQX: ROMJF) saw net sales up 219% (CA $ 3). 2 million. ) for the third quarter compared to the previous three-month period. This was due to higher sales volume through direct sales to provincial suppliers and under the Agro-Greens Agreement. Planet 13 Holdings Inc. . (CSE: PLTH) (OTCQX: PLNHF) announced third-quarter revenue of $ 22. 8 million, plus 36. 5% of $ 16. 7 million in the corresponding quarter of 2019. See more gains for MJAdjusted EBITDA of $ 6. 2 million versus $ 3. 4 million in the third quarter of last year. Driven Deliveries Inc. Based in San Diego. (OTCQB: DRVD) announced Wednesday that gross sales for the third quarter will start in September. 30, total record sales of $ 7. 2 million. Net sales in the same period were 6 million. USD – an increase of 393% over the previous year. Decibel Cannabis Company Inc. . (TSXV: DB) (OTCQB: DBCCF) reported third quarter results including: * Total net sales increased 29% from the second quarter to $ 7. 6 million. * Net sales growth of 163% compared to the same period of 2019 * Positive adjusted EBITDA for the first time * Opening of two new retail stores in Alberta in July * Completion of a large indoor cultivation facility – Thunderchild Cultivation – in July. Cannabis and hemp CBD company Pure Harvest Corporate Group Inc. . (OTCQB: PHCG) announced an increase in sales in its latest quarterly report. Highlights include: * Revenue in the third quarter of 2020 increased compared to revenue in the second quarter of 2020 (3rd quarter 2020). $ 951) at 8. 066% (318. $ 690) -Downieville, Colorado saw month-over-month growth – including a 15% increase in sales in October. Read all about this and other earnings reports at the Benzinga Cannabis Earnings Center. More news from the week A Change. The organization’s petition asking New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy to free prisoners charged with marijuana possession gained momentum after New Jersey voters overwhelmingly passed a constitutional amendment earlier this month to legalize recreational marijuana. Marquel Williams, the man who started the petition, hopes the release of these prisoners will help slow the spread of COVID-19, which has already ravaged New Jersey prisons. « This is the kind of no-nonsense campaign that we should all leave behind. New Jersey voters made it clear at the ballot box in November that they support the legalization of the possession, cultivation and retailing of cannabis. Why do we leave people in jail when their crimes are no longer illegal and a pandemic is raging uncontrollably in our prison system? We have a rare opportunity to offer solutions and hope in a year that has largely taken that away from us. I want people to get into the mindset of actively doing justice and normalizing, which is the only option, « Williams told Benzinga. Australian cannabis company Cann Group Limited (ASX: CANN) (OTC: CNGGF) announced Monday that it had approved a loan of $ 50 million from National Australia Bank (NAB) for its secured credit facility. USD received. TerrAscend Corp.. . (CSE: TER) (OTCQX: TRSSF) began caring for medical marijuana patients at the Phillipsburg Apothecarium after the New Jersey Department of Health received the final required approval to distribute medical cannabis from its New Jersey pharmacy. Auxly Cannabis Group Inc. . (TSXV: XLY) (OTCQX: CBWTF) secured funding of 12 million. USD. The Toronto-based company confirmed Tuesday that it had increased its previously announced purchase offer of its units to 40 million units at 30 cents per unit. Women-focused cannabis brand Her Highness said that through a production license partnership with MSO Body and Mind Inc. Expands to Nevada. (CSE: BAMM). Benzinga Cannabis content is now available in Spanish on El Planteo. Aurora Cannabis Inc. . (NYSE: ACB) (TSX: ACB) agreed to serve Cantek Holdings, based in Israel, at least 4 times a year. To provide 000 kilograms of dried flowers in bulk. Greenlane Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: GNLN) announced a retail partnership with Stundenglass that will bring the gravity hookah to consumers and wholesale buyers in the United States. S.. . , Canada and the EU. The gravity water pipe is a non-contact gravity driven water pipe that can accommodate the consumption of water pipes, dry herbs and concentrates. The product features an innovative 360 degree gravity system that utilizes kinetic motion activation, cascading water and opposite airflow technology to produce clean and tasteful hits. « The Greenlane team is honored to partner with Stundenglass and introduce the Gravity Shisha to our loyal customers to give them a truly unique and revolutionary consumer experience. « Aaron LoCascio, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Greenlane Holdings. MedMen Enterprises Inc. . (CSE: MMEN) (OTCQX: MMNFF) teamed up with Al Harrington’s viola. The multi-state cannabis retailer will have Viola products in all California stores. The offer includes five cannabis flower varieties and a pre-roll option. Cannabis-focused media and technology company Weedmaps becomes the official sponsor of Mike Tyson / Roy Jones Jr. . Fight takes place on Nov.. instead of. 28 at 8 p. m. European summer time. Through a partnership with the viral entertainment platform Triller, the Weedmaps branding will be present in the show as well as in the actual ring, in the changing room and in the press room. Top Stories Of The Week Check out the top stories about Benzinga Cannabis this week: * A Weed Infused Cooking Class for Thanksgiving Day? A Cannabis ETF’s Unique Marketing Strategy * Glass House Shows Us Its Massive Cannabis Greenhouse * Tyson Hypes Smart Cups Before Jones Fight, Benzinga Says It’s Disrupting The Beverage Industry * Jerry Garcia Cannabis Brand Hits California Shelves This Month * New Cannabis -Products: Live Edible Resins, Infused Olive Oil, High Dose CBD Drinks * New Cannabis Products: A Nonprofit Brand for Justice, New Edition of DoubleBlind Mag, CBD Consumables * Viridian Chart of the Week: Cannabis debt financing is booming in the US. S.. . * « CBD is not a narcotic »: European Court of Justice rules against restrictions on CBD trade * THCV: The Rare Cannabinoid That Will Conquer the Industry * Mexico’s Cannabis Legalization Law Will Boost Business, But There Are ConcernsTop Spanish Stories: * Mexico : Preocupaciones por la Legalizacion de la Marihuana * ¿Ayudara est Cannabinoide Sintetico a Pacientes de Cancer a Recuperar el Apetito? * Porros, Viajes and Buen Contenido: Conoce a En Vola, la Plataforma Cannabica Chilena * Marihuana o Cannabis ?: Un Vistazo a las Palabras y Frases Polemicas de la Industria: Presente y Futuro de las Mujeres and El Freestyle * Las Mejores Cepas de Marihuana de Todos los Tiempos, segun Expertos * Mescalina: Todo lo que Siempre Quisiste Saber y Nunca te Animaste a Preguntar * Donde Comer Ramen en Buenos Aires * Facu Banzas: Stream, Porro y Amor por el Counter Strike * Warren Buffett Invirtio en Tesla? ¿Por Que Se Especula? * Ayahuasca: Todo lo que Necesitas SabreLead picture by Ilona Szentivanyi. Copyright: Benzinga. See More From Benzinga * Click Here For Benzinga Option Deals * A Weed-Enriched Cooking Class For Thanksgiving Day? Unique Marketing Strategy Of A Cannabis ETF * The Week At Cannabis: Stocks Outperform S&P, Mexico Moves Forward, Earnings And More (C) 2020 Benzinga. com. Benzinga does not offer investment advice. All rights reserved.
Let’s calm down a beguiling illusion. The Bank of England cannot wave a magic wand and make our national debt go away unless it chooses revolutionary methods. It can’t permanently soak up the added cost of the pandemic. It cannot “print” money to cover a budget deficit of 19 percent of GDP this year or the expected accumulated damage of 560 billion over the next five years. To cover GBP. It cannot buy gilts “à outrance” and turn them over forever to keep them as certificates and forget them. At least it can’t do these things under the quantitative easing mechanism that has been in place for the last decade. We need to clean up the tax costs of the pandemic. This is sobering, but it does not warrant an early tightening or a return to austerity after Lehman. This episode, justified by the false creed of “expansive tax contractions”, defeated itself on its own terms. This resulted in a higher than usual national debt ratio and lower GDP without the damage done to Western societies. Unfortunately, we risk repeating this mistake in Britain, America’s deadlock, and Europe, where politicians have totemic beliefs in the healing powers of their humble recovery fund. « We’re back on the austerity path, » said Dario Perkins, global strategist at TS Lombard. “It’s like we haven’t learned anything from the past decade. Bond yields are at a 700-year low and it is yelling at us that we have the wrong financial policy. The economists agree that we should never allow austerity measures again, but the politicians will not spend. The former fiscal hawks of the International Monetary Fund are now the loudest warnings of a “global liquidity trap” and powerless central banks. They warn that a tax contraction too early would be criminal. « There must be no early withdrawal, » says IMF head Kristalina Georgieva. The Chancellor’s spending review borders on a contraction, however. The government is bringing the cut into the early stages of this parliament to play the electoral cycle. But we are not in an ordinary cycle. If the IMF is right, we are on a deflationary cliff. Rishi Sunak aims to reduce the structural budget deficit by freezing public sector wages and keeping spending in « unprotected departments » low, bringing borrowing down to 4. 4% of GDP as early as 2022-2023.
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