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Hospital admissions and deaths from the Coronavirus may have already peaked – but that’s not due to the lockdown, as one expert claims..
Official data suggests the level system may have been helpful when it comes to community infection rates for Covid-19.
The chart above, from the NHS Covid dashboard, shows deaths within 28 days of positive testing by date of death.
Dr. Ragheb Ali, chief clinical researcher in the Epidemiology Unit at the University of Cambridge Medical Research Center, said that infections are also starting to decrease in people most at risk of severe effects of the virus..
“This is not due to lockdown (too early) but rather reflects infections in the weeks before lockdown – but it does align with improved compliance with guidelines in the weeks preceding closure as demonstrated in the Covid Social Study.
The National Medical Director for the National Health Service in England Professor Stephen Powies said that « in the past few days » there appears to be a « settlement » in hospital patients with the Coronavirus.
Speaking at a Downing Street press conference this evening, “These are just statements for a few days and it’s important not to read too much about it yet.. We need to look at the data over a few more days, and into the next week.
“We’re starting to see evidence of lower infection rates as a result of the restrictions.
Just two weeks ago, experts also revealed that the UK had passed its second week of Covid cases.
Data from the government’s coronavirus dashboard on deaths and hospitalizations supports previous claims made by Professor Tim Spector of Kings College London, who said on November 5 that there would be a time delay as to when this drop in cases would occur. In cases of death.
Due to the incubation period for the virus, it can take up to 2 weeks for symptoms to appear, so there is usually a similar time delay to hospitalization..
There tends to be a delay of another two weeks on top of that when it comes to the number of people who have died from Covid.
This means it may be the end of the lockdown before there is any drop in death statistics, according to Professor Spector..
The second national lockdown was imposed by the government after experts said the three-tier system was not sufficient to stop the spread of the virus.
On October 31, Prime Minister Boris Johnson addressed the nation at a Saturday night press conference revealing that the country would be plunged into a four-week lockdown..
Under the restrictions, all non-essential bars, shops and restaurants have been forced to close, although schools have been forced to remain open..
The second national lockdown is set to end on December 2 and officials have previously said the British will revert to tiered restrictions in order to further stem the virus from spreading..
Current data from the government shows that there are currently 2,225 weekly deaths showing Coronavirus on the death certificate.
Data from the dashboard indicates that in the past seven days, 156,012 people have tested positive for the virus, with 20,252 people testing positive for the virus on a daily basis..
When it comes to hospital admissions, there were about 12,223 last week and about 1,737 on a daily basis.
Data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS) published today also revealed that cases are down by 18 percent.
This is the first indication that a second national lockdown may have an effect when it comes to curbing infections.
Last week, the Office for National Statistics reported 47,700 new daily cases in England, and this week that number has decreased by 18 per cent to 38,900.
Dr. Ragheb added: “The National Statistics Office also shows that we have passed the peak nationwide and that injuries have begun to decline in the most dangerous age groups.. .
« But it’s still growing in some areas, so you shouldn’t be complacent – sticking to the rules, social distancing, self-isolation, etc.. It gives us the best chance to end the shutdown.
Regionally, the Office for National Statistics numbers reported that former hotspots like the Northwest have seen case numbers drop.
The Office for National Statistics said: “Over the past week, infection rates have continued to rise in London, eastern England and the southeast, but rates now appear to be decreasing in the Northwest and East Midlands..
Speaking at a press conference this evening, Health Secretary Matt Hancock said recent data showed there was hope that « the second climax was flattening. ».
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